Virtually Certain

a Greener Golf blog

Virtually Certain (as applied to the game of golf) [USGA]

Virtually certain means more than just possible or probable. It means that either:

  • There is conclusive evidence that the event in question happened to the player’s ball, such as when the player or other witnesses saw it happen, or

  • Although there is a very small degree of doubt, all reasonably available information shows that it is at least 95% likely that the event in question happened.

Virtually Certain (as applied to SCIENCE) [IPCC]

Likelihood, as defined in Table 1, provides calibrated language for describing quantified uncertainty. It can be used to express a probabilistic estimate of the occurrence of a single event or of an outcome (e.g., a climate parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range). Likelihood may be based on statistical or modeling analyses, elicitation of expert views, or other quantitative analyses.

Virtually Certain Blog Posts

Parker Anderson Parker Anderson

Clover

(from McKellar Magazine Issue #7)

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